CAT Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CAT Report Power & Energy Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$7.10B vs. cons $6.76B (+5.0%) MEDIUM
CAT Report Diluted Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$6.50 vs. cons $6.10 (+6.6%) HIGH
CAT Report Backlog (Q2 2026 end) BEAT pred ~$64.0B vs. cons $62.7B (+2.1%) MEDIUM
CAT Guide FY 2026 Revenue (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$77-78B vs. cons $76.47B (+0.7-2.0%) MEDIUM
CAT Guide Full-Year Tariff Cost (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$2.1-2.3B vs. prior guide $2.2-2.4B (narrowed lower) MEDIUM
CAT Guide Full-Year Adj. Op. Margin (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide maintained vs. cons 18.43% HIGH
CAT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +8.5% HIGH
CAT Return 5-day cumulative residual +10.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — genuine FY raise forces sell-side H2 estimate revisions upward; Archetype A 5-day pattern in Q1 2026, Q4 2025, Q3 2025 all showed follow-through or stabilization MEDIUM