CEG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CEG Report Q2 2026 adjusted operating EPS BEAT pred ~$2.44 vs. cons $2.41 MEDIUM
CEG Report Q2 2026 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$8.05B vs. cons $7.94B LOW
CEG Report Q2 2026 nuclear capacity factor IN-LINE pred ~95.2% vs. cons 95.0% MEDIUM
CEG Guide FY2026 adjusted operating EPS midpoint LOWER guide ~$11.50 vs. cons $11.74 (FY2026) HIGH
CEG Guide Implied second-half adjusted operating EPS LOWER guide ~$6.32 vs. cons $6.59 (H2 2026) MEDIUM
CEG Guide Free cash flow before growth UNCHANGED guide ~$8.40B vs. cons $8.40B (2026-2027 cumulative) HIGH
CEG Guide Calpine EPS accretion UNCHANGED guide ~$2.00/share vs. cons $2.00/share (FY2026) MEDIUM
CEG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
CEG Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A modest Q2 beat should initially help, but an unchanged $11.00-$12.00 FY2026 range would leave the $11.50 midpoint below $11.74 consensus and imply only ~$6.32 of H2 EPS versus ~$6.59 consensus, driving out-period estimate cuts unless management adds upper-half confidence or announces concrete data-center contracting progress. MEDIUM