{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Operating EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$5.62 vs. cons $5.54",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Operating EBITDA",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.37B vs. cons $1.35B",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Net sales",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.45B vs. cons $2.43B",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 gross ammonia production",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~9.5M tons vs. prior company guide ~9.5M tons; no consensus benchmark",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 consolidated CapEx",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$1.3B vs. prior company guide ~$1.3B; no consensus benchmark",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Q3 fill / nitrogen-market commentary",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "constructive early-August fill tone vs. UNVERIFIED qualitative consensus",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 2.5,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": 4.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH \u2014 fill validation should support Q3 revisions",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}