CMI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMI Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.55 vs. cons $7.19 MEDIUM
CMI Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$9.46B vs. cons $9.32B MEDIUM
CMI Report Power Systems EBITDA margin BEAT pred ~26.6% vs. cons 25.8% MEDIUM
CMI Guide Revenue growth guidance BETTER guide ~10.0% midpoint (9%-11%) vs. cons 9.6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Guide EBITDA margin guidance BETTER guide ~18.25% midpoint (18.0%-18.5%) vs. cons 18.2% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
CMI Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) The predicted ~$7.55 EPS beat versus $7.19 consensus and modest FY2026 guidance lift should drive an initially positive reaction, but the implied second-half revenue and margin trajectory leaves limited upside versus elevated estimates; 2026 truck pull-forward also pressures 2027 revisions, causing part of the day-1 gain to fade. MEDIUM