CMI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMI Report Q2 revenue BEAT pred ~$9.47B vs. cons $9.32B MEDIUM
CMI Report Q2 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.42 vs. cons $7.19 MEDIUM
CMI Report Power Systems Q2 revenue BEAT pred ~$2.25B vs. cons $2.18B MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY2026 total-company revenue growth BETTER guide ~10.5% vs. cons 10.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY2026 EBITDA margin BETTER guide ~18.35% vs. cons 18.15% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY2026 Power Systems revenue growth BETTER guide ~18.5% vs. cons 16.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY2026 Accelera EBITDA loss UNCHANGED guide ~-$285M vs. cons -$285M (FY2026) MEDIUM
CMI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
CMI Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A Power Systems-led beat plus a ~10.5% FY2026 revenue outlook versus ~10.0% consensus should lift out-period revenue and EBITDA estimates; the higher ~18.5% Power Systems growth outlook supports durable data-center demand rather than a one-quarter margin-driven beat. MEDIUM