CMI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMI Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$9,590M vs. cons $9,312M (Visible Alpha, 7/31/26) HIGH
CMI Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$7.65 vs. cons $7.20 (Visible Alpha, 7/31/26) HIGH
CMI Report Power Systems EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$560M vs. cons $535M (Visible Alpha, 7/31/26) MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY 2026 Revenue (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$37.8B-$38.5B vs. cons $37.27B (Visible Alpha, 7/31/26) HIGH
CMI Guide FY 2026 EBITDA Margin (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~18.0%-18.75% vs. cons 18.0% (Visible Alpha, 7/31/26) MEDIUM
CMI Guide NA HD Truck Market (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~255K-265K vs. current 230K-250K (Q1 2026 call, 5/5/26) HIGH
CMI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% HIGH
CMI Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — Archetype A; sell-side models update FY estimates upward as guide raise exceeds beat; de-rated entry point amplifies; short covering adds bid MEDIUM