CMI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMI Report Operating diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.32 vs. cons $7.20 MEDIUM
CMI Report Net sales IN-LINE pred ~$9.40B vs. cons $9.31B MEDIUM
CMI Report Power Systems sales BEAT pred ~$2.24B vs. cons $2.19B MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY26 revenue UNCHANGED guide ~up 8%-11% vs. cons $37.27B MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY26 EBITDA margin UNCHANGED guide ~17.75%-18.5% vs. cons 18.0% MEDIUM
CMI Guide FY26 Power Systems revenue UNCHANGED guide ~up 14%-19% vs. cons $8.75B MEDIUM
CMI Guide NA heavy-duty truck market UNCHANGED guide ~230k-250k units vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
CMI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
CMI Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — maintained FY guide implies out-period trimming LOW