CVS Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CVS Report Adjusted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$1.88 vs. cons $1.865 MEDIUM
CVS Report Medical benefit ratio IN-LINE pred ~89.1% vs. cons 89.23% MEDIUM
CVS Report HCB operating income BEAT pred ~$1.50B vs. cons $1.475B MEDIUM
CVS Guide Adjusted EPS (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~$7.30-$7.50 vs. cons $7.470 MEDIUM
CVS Guide HCB operating income (FY26) LOWER guide ~$4.00-$4.34B vs. cons $4.34B MEDIUM
CVS Guide MBR / medical-cost tone (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~90.5% +/-50 bps vs. cons 90.23% MEDIUM
CVS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
CVS Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — maintained FY guide implies a modest H2 EPS cut LOW