DD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DD Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26, post-split) BEAT pred ~$1.83 vs. cons $1.76 HIGH
DD Report Net Sales (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$1.83B vs. cons $1.82B MEDIUM
DD Report Operating EBITDA (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$438M vs. cons $430M MEDIUM
DD Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guidance (post-split) BETTER guide ~$7.15-7.22 vs. cons $7.17 (FY2026) MEDIUM
DD Guide FY26 Net Sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$7.18-7.24B vs. cons $7.20B (FY2026) LOW
DD Guide Q3'26 Adjusted EPS guidance (implied, post-split) LOWER guide ~$1.86 vs. cons $1.92 (Q3 2026) LOW
DD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.0% MEDIUM
DD Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.7% (FADE) A modest EPS/EBITDA beat on in-line revenue triggers an initial pop given DD's consistent beat-and-raise history and reaffirmed FY26 guide, but the implied Q3 step-down (FX headwinds, sub-1% tailwind trimmed further, lingering construction/water softness, price-cost catch-up not fully realized until H2) leads sell-side models to trim out-quarter and FY27 estimates even after the headline beat — consistent with the pre-print downgrade thesis flagging a 'small beat now, Q3 disappointment' setup — causing the initial gain to fade over the following days. MEDIUM