DDOG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DDOG Report Q2 Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.10B vs. cons $1.077B HIGH
DDOG Report Q2 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$0.66 vs. cons $0.60 HIGH
DDOG Report Q2 Non-GAAP Operating Income BEAT pred ~$255M vs. cons $236M MEDIUM
DDOG Guide Q3'26 Revenue guide UNCHANGED guide ~$1.13B vs. cons $1.13B (Q3 2026) LOW
DDOG Guide FY26 Revenue guide (raise) BETTER guide ~$4.42B vs. cons $4.40B (FY2026) MEDIUM
DDOG Guide FY26 Non-GAAP EPS guide (raise) BETTER guide ~$2.55 vs. cons $2.48 (FY2026) MEDIUM
DDOG Guide Non-AI cohort growth / NRR commentary BETTER pred non-AI ~mid-20s% & NRR ~low-120s% vs. cons ~low-20s% (Q2 2026) MEDIUM
DDOG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
DDOG Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) Clean beat-and-raise drives an initial pop, but with the stock already doubled since Q1 and trading near highs into the print (rich valuation, heavy insider 10b5-1 selling), the whisper sits above the guide. Datadog's characteristic conservatism on its largest AI-native customer means the FY raise, while positive, likely trails the buy-side bar; out-period estimates rise only modestly, so part of the day-1 move gives back as positioning unwinds — net still positive but fading. LOW