DIS Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DIS Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.90 vs. cons $1.86 MEDIUM
DIS Report Total segment operating income BEAT pred ~$5.36B vs. cons $5.30B MEDIUM
DIS Report Experiences segment operating income MISS pred ~$2.63B vs. cons $2.66B LOW
DIS Guide Adjusted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$6.80 vs. cons $6.79 (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
DIS Guide Adjusted EPS growth excluding 53rd-week comparison LOWER guide ~10.0% vs. cons 10.8% (fiscal 2027) MEDIUM
DIS Guide Entertainment SVOD operating margin LOWER guide ~10.0% vs. cons 10.5% (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
DIS Guide Share repurchases LOWER guide ~$8.0B vs. cons $8.5B (fiscal 2026) LOW
DIS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.1% MEDIUM
DIS Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) A modest Q3 beat—predicted adjusted EPS of $1.90 versus $1.86 consensus—without an increase to the roughly $6.80 fiscal-2026 outlook shifts about $0.04 out of implied Q4 earnings. Fiscal-2027 growth guidance of roughly 10.0% versus 10.8% consensus should limit estimate revisions and cause the initial relief rally to fade. MEDIUM