DIS Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DIS Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.91 vs. cons $1.86 MEDIUM
DIS Report Total segment operating income IN-LINE pred ~$5.34B vs. cons $5.30B HIGH
DIS Report Experiences segment operating income BEAT pred ~$2.89B vs. cons $2.85B MEDIUM
DIS Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS outlook, including the 53rd week BETTER guide ~$6.88 vs. cons $6.83 (FY2026) MEDIUM
DIS Guide FY2027 adjusted EPS growth outlook, excluding the 53rd week BETTER guide ~$7.57 vs. cons $7.45 (FY2027) LOW
DIS Guide FY2026 share repurchase target UNCHANGED guide ~$8.0B vs. cons $8.0B (FY2026) HIGH
DIS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
DIS Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$1.91 vs. $1.86 EPS beat combined with ~$5.34B vs. $5.30B segment OI should support upward FY2026/FY2027 revisions if Disney reaffirms ~$6.88 vs. $6.83 FY2026 adjusted EPS and implies ~$7.57 vs. $7.45 for FY2027. The key is that the beat is expected to be Experiences- and streaming-margin-led rather than a below-the-line or timing-driven result, limiting the risk of out-period estimate cuts. MEDIUM