DOC Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DOC Report FFO as Adjusted / share IN-LINE pred ~$0.43 vs. cons $0.43 HIGH
DOC Report Total same-store cash NOI growth BEAT pred ~+1.5% vs. cons ~+0.7% MEDIUM
DOC Report Lab/life science total occupancy IN-LINE pred ~78.2% vs. cons ~78.1% MEDIUM
DOC Guide FY2026 FFO as Adjusted / share guidance BETTER guide ~$1.72-$1.76 (mid $1.74) vs. cons $1.73 (FY2026) MEDIUM
DOC Guide FY2026 total same-store cash NOI growth guidance BETTER guide ~0% to +2% (mid +1.0%) vs. cons ~+0.3% (FY2026) LOW
DOC Guide Lab occupancy +100bps year-end target / SNO commencements UNCHANGED guide reaffirm ~+100bps to ~78.7% vs. cons ~+80bps (YE2026) MEDIUM
DOC Guide H2 interest expense / G&A step-up (June refi) LOWER guide ~+$20M interest, +$5M G&A vs. cons ~+$15M (H2 2026) MEDIUM
DOC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.3% MEDIUM
DOC Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FADE) After a ~34% YTD run the bar is high; an in-line ~$0.43 FFO with only a token $0.01 guide nudge underwhelms priced-in expectations. Even with a small SS-NOI beat, the H2 out-period math (June ~$650M refi at higher rates lifting interest ~$20M, +$5M G&A, undeployed Janus-cash drag) caps run-rate near ~$0.43 and pulls forward numbers down, so an initial dip continues to bleed as revisions trim rather than lift. LOW