{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Core EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.78 vs. cons $0.72",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Total production",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~1,285 MBoepd vs. cons 1,255 MBoepd",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Free cash flow",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.93B vs. cons $0.92B",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 combined oil-production guidance",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~635 MBbl/d vs. cons 628 MBbl/d (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 combined capital-expenditure guidance",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$5.20B vs. cons $5.35B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "2026 merger-synergy exit-rate commentary",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$0.35B annualized vs. cons $0.30B annualized (2026 exit-rate)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY26 free-cash-flow outlook",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$3.70B vs. cons $3.55B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 4.5,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 6.5,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "A ~3 MBbl/d oil-guide uplift versus consensus 628 MBbl/d and ~$0.15B lower capital versus consensus $5.35B would raise FY2026 free-cash-flow and 2027 synergy math, supporting upward revisions after the initial ~$0.78 versus $0.72 EPS beat.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}