ED Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ED Report Q2'26 Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.73 vs. cons ~$0.70 LOW
ED Report Q2'26 Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$3.45B vs. cons ~$3.42B LOW
ED Report Q2'26 GAAP EPS (net income for common) IN-LINE pred ~$0.70 vs. cons ~$0.69 LOW
ED Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.00–$6.20 (reaffirmed) vs. cons ~$6.10 (FY2026) HIGH
ED Guide 5-yr Adjusted EPS CAGR algorithm UNCHANGED guide ~6–7% vs. cons ~6–7% (2026–2030 off midpoint) HIGH
ED Guide Equity issuance / ATM cadence UNCHANGED guide ~$1.1B equity vs. cons ~$1.1B (FY2026, incl. $2B ATM) MEDIUM
ED Guide 2026–2030 Capex plan UNCHANGED guide ~$38B vs. cons ~$38B ($6.6B in 2026) MEDIUM
ED Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.4% LOW
ED Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.3% (STABILIZE) Q2 is ED's smallest quarter with decoupled, weather-normalized revenue, so the print itself carries little revision signal. A likely guidance reaffirmation ($6.00–$6.20) and intact 6–7% algorithm keep out-period estimates anchored — no meaningful cuts or raises to drive momentum. The stock already de-rated ~4% (from ~$113 to $108) into the print alongside a weak XLU/rising-yield backdrop, so downside is cushioned. With no catalyst to revise numbers materially either way, the low-beta defensive trades sideways; residual drift dominated by rate/utility-sector macro rather than idiosyncratic follow-through. Risk skew: heavier equity-issuance commentary or O&M pressure could cap upside. LOW