ED Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ED Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$0.73 vs. cons $0.745 MEDIUM
ED Report GAAP EPS (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$0.72 vs. cons $0.75 LOW
ED Report Revenue (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$3.65B vs. cons $3.70B MEDIUM
ED Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.00-$6.20 (mid ~$6.10) vs. cons $6.09 (FY2026) HIGH
ED Guide 5-yr Adjusted EPS CAGR off 2026 midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~6-7% vs. cons ~6.5% implied (2026-2030/31) MEDIUM
ED Guide 2026 Capex Plan BETTER guide ~$6.7B vs. prior guide $6.6B (FY2026) LOW
ED Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.4% MEDIUM
ED Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.2% (STABILIZE) A modest adjusted-EPS miss driven by recurring O&M inflation and equity dilution is largely priced in given the soft Q1 print already set that expectation; with FY2026 guidance and the 6-7% long-term CAGR algorithm reaffirmed, there's no implicit out-period cut to chase, so the small negative day-1 reaction should stabilize rather than extend as low-vol, income-oriented holders view the miss as financing-mix noise, not a rate-base/ROE problem. LOW