EMR Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EMR Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.71 vs. cons $1.68 MEDIUM
EMR Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$4.85B vs. cons $4.79B MEDIUM
EMR Report Adjusted segment EBITDA margin BEAT pred ~28.3% vs. cons ~28.0% MEDIUM
EMR Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$6.58 (raised/narrowed within $6.45-6.55 range) vs. cons $6.52 (FY2026) MEDIUM
EMR Guide FY2026 underlying sales growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~3% vs. cons ~3% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EMR Guide Middle East FY2026 sales headwind BETTER guide ~0.75pt drag vs. prior guide ~1pt (FY2026) LOW
EMR Guide Software ACV growth BETTER guide ~10%+ vs. cons ~9% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EMR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
EMR Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) Stock ran ~14% in three weeks into the print (136→154.88) and options/positioning already price a beat-and-raise; a modest EPS/revenue beat plus only an in-line-to-modest FY sales-growth guide (Middle East drag still ~0.75-1pt, China still down mid-single-digits) leaves little room for further upside surprise, so an initial sell-the-news reaction likely extends over the week as sell-side models trim out-period (Q4/FY27) estimates for continued Middle East/China softness even while praising margin execution, producing net negative drift despite the headline beat. MEDIUM