EVRG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EVRG Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$0.81 vs. cons ~$0.81 (co. guide 17-19% of $4.24 FY = ~$0.72-0.81; PY $0.82 on a mild-summer comp) MEDIUM
EVRG Report Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$1.55B vs. cons ~$1.52B (load growth ~7% offsets weather noise) LOW
EVRG Report Weather-normalized retail load growth (YoY) BEAT pred ~+7% vs. cons ~+6% (data-center energization running ahead of plan) LOW
EVRG Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.24 midpoint ($4.14-$4.34) vs. cons ~$4.24 (FY2026); reaffirmation expected HIGH
EVRG Guide Long-term EPS growth algorithm UNCHANGED guide 6-8%+ through 2030 (>8% from 2028) vs. cons ~6-8% (2026-2030), with upward bias noted MEDIUM
EVRG Guide Large-load ESAs signed (sixth ESA / ~3GW pipeline) BETTER guide ~6 ESAs vs. cons 5 (2026); mgmt guided 'at least one more in 2026' — new signing = key catalyst LOW
EVRG Guide Capital plan / rate-base CAGR UNCHANGED guide $21.6B capex, ~12% rate-base CAGR vs. cons ~$21.6B/~12% (2026-2030); IRP upside possible later MEDIUM
EVRG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% LOW
EVRG Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (STABILIZE) Likely a reaffirm-plus-upbeat-load-narrative print with an in-line, weather/phasing-soft Q2 (guide midpoint ~$0.76 sits below PY $0.82), so there's no fresh upward FY revision to drive follow-through and no clean miss to fade. Out-period math is neutral (implicit soft Q2 offset by strong Q1); low-beta utility with sentiment already cooled ~6% off July highs. Absent a sixth-ESA or capital-plan bump, the small day-1 move stabilizes rather than trends. LOW