EXPD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXPD Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.80 vs. cons $1.74 MEDIUM
EXPD Report Revenue MISS pred ~$2.87B vs. cons $2.92B MEDIUM
EXPD Report Operating income BEAT pred ~$310M vs. cons $306M MEDIUM
EXPD Guide Q3 airfreight-tonnage outlook LOWER guide ~4% YoY vs. cons 5% YoY (Q3 2026) LOW
EXPD Guide Q3 customs brokerage and other-services revenue outlook BETTER guide ~12% YoY vs. cons 10% YoY (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
EXPD Guide Q3 operating-margin outlook UNCHANGED guide ~10.6% vs. cons 10.6% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
EXPD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
EXPD Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) The ~$1.80 EPS result versus $1.74 consensus and ~$310M operating income versus $306M should drive an initial positive reaction, but the ~$2.87B revenue miss versus $2.92B and softer ~4% Q3 air-volume outlook versus 5% limit out-period EPS revisions; customs strength offsets rather than fully eliminates weak ocean and volume concerns. MEDIUM