EXPD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXPD Report Customs Brokerage Net Revenue BEAT pred ~$555M vs. cons $537.7M MEDIUM
EXPD Report Air Freight Net Revenue MISS pred ~$272M vs. cons $278.4M LOW
EXPD Report Operating EPS (Diluted) BEAT pred ~$1.74 vs. cons $1.71 MEDIUM
EXPD Guide Customs Brokerage trajectory (Q3 2026) BETTER guide constructive vs. cons ~$545M implied Q3 MEDIUM
EXPD Guide Air Freight outlook (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide cautious/unchanged vs. cons ~$270M implied Q3 MEDIUM
EXPD Guide Ocean market (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide unchanged/cautious vs. cons ~$185M implied Q3 HIGH
EXPD Guide Operating margin / efficiency (FY 2026) BETTER guide constructive vs. cons 10.1% FY MEDIUM
EXPD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
EXPD Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — modest estimate revision upward on customs beat; limited by air miss and ocean drag; no explosive follow-through given moderate beat magnitude and elevated pre-earnings run MEDIUM