EXPE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXPE Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$4.24B vs. cons $4.169B MEDIUM
EXPE Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.09B vs. cons $1.036B MEDIUM
EXPE Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.46 vs. cons $5.18 MEDIUM
EXPE Guide FY2026 gross bookings growth UNCHANGED guide ~7.0% vs. cons 7.1% (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXPE Guide FY2026 revenue UNCHANGED guide ~$15.90B vs. cons $15.91B (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXPE Guide FY2026 adjusted EBITDA-margin expansion BETTER guide ~125 bps vs. cons 112 bps (FY2026) MEDIUM
EXPE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% MEDIUM
EXPE Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A Q2 revenue/EBITDA beat of roughly $4.24B/$1.09B versus $4.169B/$1.036B is likely offset by roughly unchanged FY revenue and bookings guidance of $15.90B/7.0% versus consensus $15.91B/7.1%; the lack of a top-line raise after the rally should drive modest out-period estimate cuts despite margin upside. MEDIUM