EXPE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EXPE Report Room Nights Booked (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~113-115M vs. cons 111.0M MEDIUM
EXPE Report Adj. EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~25.2-25.5% vs. cons 24.88% MEDIUM
EXPE Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$5.30-$5.50 vs. cons $5.05 MEDIUM
EXPE Guide FY 2026 Revenue Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~7-10% vs. cons ~7.5% implied MEDIUM
EXPE Guide FY 2026 EBITDA Margin Expansion (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~125-150 bps vs. cons 100-125 bps prior MEDIUM
EXPE Guide Q3 2026 Revenue Growth (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~6-8% vs. cons ~-3% YoY (depressed placeholder) HIGH
EXPE Guide Q3 2026 EBITDA Margin (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~+50-100 bps vs. cons ~-140 bps YoY (depressed) MEDIUM
EXPE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
EXPE Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side estimate upgrades on FY raise and Q3 guide vs. depressed consensus drive continued buying; partially offset by high pre-run bar MEDIUM