GILD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GILD Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$7.55B vs. cons $7.37B MEDIUM
GILD Report Underlying (ex-IPR&D) non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.15 vs. cons ~$2.00 (ex the ~$(7.07) IPR&D-distorted reported loss) MEDIUM
GILD Report Yeztugo (lenacapavir PrEP) revenue BEAT pred ~$235M vs. cons ~$200M MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY26 ex-Veklury product sales BETTER guide ~$29.8-30.0B vs. cons ~$29.6B (FY26) MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY26 Yeztugo target UNCHANGED guide ~$1.0-1.1B vs. cons ~$1.0B (FY26) MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY26 HIV franchise growth BETTER guide ~8-9% vs. cons ~8% (FY26) LOW
GILD Guide FY26 underlying (ex-IPR&D) non-GAAP EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$8.45-8.85 vs. cons ~$8.65 (FY26) MEDIUM
GILD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
GILD Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (STABILIZE) A modest revenue/underlying-EPS beat plus a small ex-Veklury guide raise and Yeztugo ramp de-risking (ISLEND positive, court win) supports an initial pop that largely holds. But GILD is a low-beta defensive already ~+8% off July lows into an elevated raised bar, and the optically ugly IPR&D-driven reported loss caps enthusiasm; out-period estimate math is roughly neutral (revenue up, no big underlying-EPS revision), so the residual stabilizes rather than follows through strongly or fades. MEDIUM