GILD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GILD Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$7.55B vs. cons $7.37B MEDIUM
GILD Report Yeztugo (lenacapavir PrEP) Sales (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$300M vs. cons $260M MEDIUM
GILD Report Trodelvy Sales (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$460M vs. cons $438M MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY2026 Total Product Sales Guidance BETTER guide ~$30.4B-$30.8B vs. cons $30.2B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY2026 Yeztugo Sales Guidance BETTER guide ~$1.1B-$1.2B vs. cons $1.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GILD Guide FY2026 Underlying (ex-IPR&D charge) Non-GAAP EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$8.40-$8.60 (implied ex-charge) vs. cons $8.45 (FY2026) LOW
GILD Guide FY2026 HIV Franchise Growth Guidance BETTER guide ~8%-9% vs. cons ~8% (FY2026) LOW
GILD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
GILD Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Headline GAAP/non-GAAP EPS loss (~$7/share, already flagged and priced by sophisticated holders) is one-time IPR&D noise, so the market should look through it to a base-business beat (revenue, Yeztugo acceleration, Trodelvy post-approval launch strength) plus a raised FY product-sales and Yeztugo guide; as sell-side models get rebuilt ex-charges over the following days, price targets and estimates should be revised up rather than trimmed, supporting continued buying rather than a fade. Residual risk is that mainstream/retail reaction to the giant GAAP loss headline causes an initial overreaction that needs a day or two to reverse, but underlying fundamentals (HIV durability to 2036, Trodelvy label expansion, imminent BIC/LEN PDUFA, favorable CA Supreme Court ruling) argue for follow-through rather than fade over the week. LOW