GPN Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GPN Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$3.49 vs. cons $3.45 MEDIUM
GPN Report Adjusted net revenue (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$3.16B vs. cons $3.17B MEDIUM
GPN Report Constant-currency organic/net revenue growth (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~+4.5% vs. cons ~+5% LOW
GPN Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$13.80-$14.00 (mid $13.90) vs. cons $13.86 (FY26) MEDIUM
GPN Guide FY26 constant-currency adj. net revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~5% vs. cons ~5% (FY26) MEDIUM
GPN Guide FY26 adjusted operating margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~+150 bps vs. cons ~+150 bps (FY26, H2-weighted) MEDIUM
GPN Guide New segment disclosure (Enterprise / Integrated & Platforms / SMB growth rates) UNKNOWN debut; no cons baseline yet vs. implied ~5% blended (FY26) LOW
GPN Guide FY26 capital return / buyback pace UNCHANGED guide >$2B vs. cons ~$2B (FY26), leverage 3.5x to 3.0x by end-2027 MEDIUM
GPN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.5% LOW
GPN Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.5% (FADE) Stock rallied ~40% off the June low and ~12% into the print with near-term revisions skewed negative (~6 down/0 up), so even a modest EPS beat plus a simple reaffirm is largely priced. The Q2 travel/IRS headwinds and H2-weighted synergy/margin ramp mean the full-year math relies on an implicit second-half back-load; a reaffirm rather than a raise, combined with new-segment growth rates that reset comps, invites profit-taking and out-period estimate trims that pull the stock lower over the following days. LOW