HST Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HST Report Adjusted FFO/AFFO per share (Q2) BEAT pred ~$0.67 vs. cons $0.62 HIGH
HST Report Comparable Hotel RevPAR (Q2) BEAT pred ~$250 vs. cons $244.77 MEDIUM
HST Report Total Revenue (Q2) BEAT pred ~$1.65B vs. cons $1.62B MEDIUM
HST Guide FY2026 Adjusted FFO per share guidance BETTER guide ~$2.15-2.20 (mid $2.17) vs. cons $2.13 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HST Guide FY2026 Comparable Hotel RevPAR growth guidance BETTER guide ~3.5%-5.0% (mid ~4.25%) vs. prior guide mid 3.75% (FY2026) MEDIUM
HST Guide 2H2026 RevPAR growth deceleration commentary UNCHANGED guide ~low-single-digit (~2%) vs. cons expectation ~2% deceleration (2H2026) MEDIUM
HST Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
HST Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.4% (FADE) Q2 captures the peak (~two-thirds) of the World Cup RevPAR tailwind, so even a clean beat and modest full-year raise leaves Q3/Q4 comps tougher and rate growth decelerating to low-single digits; analysts likely trim out-quarter RevPAR/AFFO estimates as they roll forward, causing the initial pop to fade as the 'sell-the-news' dynamic (stock already +46% YoY, trading above mean PT) reasserts itself over the following days. MEDIUM