HST Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HST Report Comparable RevPAR (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$252 vs. cons $248.07 MEDIUM
HST Report Comp. Hotel EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~32.2% vs. cons 31.58% MEDIUM
HST Report AFFO per Share (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.64 vs. cons $0.619 MEDIUM
HST Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDAre (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$1,845M midpoint vs. cons $1,813.9M MEDIUM
HST Guide FY 2026 Comp. RevPAR Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~4.25% midpoint vs. cons ~3.5% implied MEDIUM
HST Guide H2 2026 RevPAR Tone (H2 2026) UNCHANGED guide 'low single digits' maintained with slight upward bias vs. cons ~2-3% HIGH
HST Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% MEDIUM
HST Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FADE) FADE — beat + raise already priced into +15% run since Q1; H2 language cautious; short-cover provides floor vs. worst A-quarter outcomes MEDIUM