HWM Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HWM Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$2.47B vs. cons $2.42B MEDIUM
HWM Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$795M vs. cons $780M MEDIUM
HWM Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.29 vs. cons $1.24 MEDIUM
HWM Guide Q3 2026 revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.47B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
HWM Guide Q3 2026 adjusted EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$1.29 vs. cons $1.27 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
HWM Guide FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance BETTER guide ~$3.13B vs. cons $3.11B (FY2026) MEDIUM
HWM Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$5.05 vs. cons $5.14 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HWM Guide FY2026 free-cash-flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$1.80B vs. cons $1.80B (FY2026) LOW
HWM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
HWM Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A ~$1.29 EPS result versus $1.24 consensus and ~$3.13B FY2026 EBITDA guide versus $3.11B support an initial positive reaction, but the ~$5.05 FY2026 EPS guide versus $5.14 consensus leaves modest out-period estimate cuts after CAM financing and capacity-investment effects. MEDIUM