KDP Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KDP Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.55 vs. cons $0.53 MEDIUM
KDP Report Net sales BEAT pred ~$7.14B vs. cons $7.05B MEDIUM
KDP Report U.S. Coffee operating income MISS pred ~$145M vs. cons $158M MEDIUM
KDP Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~10.5% vs. cons 10.5% (FY2026) HIGH
KDP Guide FY2026 total-company net sales UNCHANGED guide ~$26.15B vs. cons $26.16B (FY2026) HIGH
KDP Guide FY2026 aggregate free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.49B (FY2026) MEDIUM
KDP Guide 2H26 U.S. Coffee operating-income recovery LOWER guide ~8% growth vs. cons 11% growth (2H2026) MEDIUM
KDP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.4% MEDIUM
KDP Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A modest EPS and sales beat plus reaffirmed FY2026 EPS and FCF should support an initially positive reaction, but no full-year raise and softer implied 2H U.S. Coffee profit recovery leave out-period EPS math slightly below expectations; revisions should limit follow-through after the initial move. MEDIUM