KHC Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KHC Report Organic net sales growth (Q2) BEAT pred ~-3.0% vs. cons -3.5% MEDIUM
KHC Report Adjusted EPS (Q2) BEAT pred ~$0.55 vs. cons $0.53 MEDIUM
KHC Report Adjusted EBITDA (Q2) IN-LINE pred ~$1.29B vs. cons $1.28B MEDIUM
KHC Guide FY26 organic net sales guide UNCHANGED guide ~-1.5% to -3.5% vs. cons -3.0% (FY2026) HIGH
KHC Guide FY26 adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$1.98-$2.10 vs. cons ~$2.04 (FY2026) HIGH
KHC Guide FY26 constant-ccy adj. operating income guide UNCHANGED guide ~-14% to -18% vs. cons ~-16% (FY2026) MEDIUM
KHC Guide H2 gross-margin / inflation outlook (energy, resins) LOWER guide H2 GM pressure ramping ~-50 to -100bps vs. cons flat-to-down ~-30bps (H2 2026) MEDIUM
KHC Guide Mix-adjusted market-share trend BETTER guide losing ~-25 to -30bps vs. cons ~-40bps (YTD 2026) MEDIUM
KHC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% LOW
KHC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.0% (FADE) Q2 prints less-bad-than-feared (slight organic/EPS beat, reaffirmed guide, continued share-loss narrowing) driving a modest day-1 pop, but the setup weakens into the out-quarters: H2 energy/resin inflation ramps once hedges roll off after mid-Q3, implying an implicit back-half margin cut even without a headline guide trim. With the stock already +24% off March lows and popping into month-end, the bar is raised, so initial gains fade as estimates drift lower on the forward-margin math. LOW