KHC Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KHC Report Organic Net Sales Growth (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~-2.5% vs. cons -3.5% MEDIUM
KHC Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$0.57 vs. cons $0.53 MEDIUM
KHC Report Adjusted EBITDA (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$1.31B vs. cons $1.28B LOW
KHC Guide FY2026 Organic Net Sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~-2.5% midpoint (range -1.5% to -3.5%) vs. cons -2.6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
KHC Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.04 midpoint ($1.98-$2.10) vs. cons $2.03 (FY2026) MEDIUM
KHC Guide H2 Gross Margin / Inflation headwind commentary (resin & energy hedges rolling off mid-Q3) LOWER guide ~75bps FY headwind vs. cons ~50bps previously modeled (FY2026/H2) LOW
KHC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
KHC Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Even with a likely headline beat driven by continued share-trend improvement, the stock enters the print already stretched relative to sell-side targets ($23-25 vs ~$26.66), pricing in much of the 'Cahillane turnaround' optimism. Management's own commentary flags rising resin/energy costs after hedges roll off mid-Q3 and only partial pricing pass-through, implying implicit downward pressure on H2/FY EBITDA and EPS math even if Q2 itself beats. As analysts digest this out-period inflation risk and the unresolved split/Berkshire overhang over the following days, expect price-target and estimate trims to compound the initial muted-to-negative reaction rather than reverse it, producing follow-through weakness over the week. MEDIUM