KIM Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KIM Report Q2 2026 FFO per share BEAT pred ~$0.47 vs. cons $0.46 MEDIUM
KIM Report Q2 2026 Same-property NOI growth (YoY) BEAT pred ~3.3% vs. cons ~2.8% MEDIUM
KIM Report Q2 2026 Total revenue IN-LINE pred ~$548M vs. cons $545M MEDIUM
KIM Guide FY2026 FFO/share guidance BETTER guide ~$1.83-$1.86 vs. cons $1.825 (FY2026) MEDIUM
KIM Guide FY2026 Same-property NOI growth guidance BETTER guide ~3.0%-3.6% vs. cons ~3.15% (FY2026) MEDIUM
KIM Guide FY2026 Credit-loss assumption guidance BETTER guide ~60-85 bps vs. cons ~77 bps (FY2026) LOW
KIM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
KIM Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.3% (FADE) Setup mirrors Q1: a low-bar beat-and-raise is largely pre-anticipated (SNO pipeline conversion math already telegraphed by management, consensus FFO stuck at $0.46 for 3+ months), and the stock has already run ~27% into the print (peaked $26.38 in late July before pulling back to $25.42). Q1's earnings reaction showed exactly this pattern: a modest 1-2 day pop followed by give-back over the rest of the week as no incremental surprise emerged beyond what was guided. Expect a similar initial positive reaction on the beat/raise that fades as investors rotate to 2H26 refinancing/credit-loss risk and valuation-discount debate rather than sustained re-rating. MEDIUM