KMB Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KMB Report Adjusted EPS (continuing ops) IN-LINE pred ~$1.99 vs. cons $2.00 MEDIUM
KMB Report Organic Sales Growth (Q2) MISS pred ~1.0% vs. cons ~1.8% MEDIUM
KMB Report Adjusted Gross Margin (yoy bps change) MISS pred ~-30bps vs. cons ~+40bps MEDIUM
KMB Guide FY26 Organic Sales Growth guidance LOWER guide ~2.0% vs. cons ~2.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
KMB Guide FY26 Adjusted Operating Profit Growth (constant currency) LOWER guide ~4% vs. cons ~6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
KMB Guide H2 2026 incremental input-cost headwind (oil/geopolitical) LOWER guide ~$150-170M vs. cons ~$0 baked in (H2 2026) MEDIUM
KMB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.7% MEDIUM
KMB Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.2% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Q2 results likely show EPS roughly in-line but organic growth missing on a tough comp plus the DC-fire drag, while margins slip further on the flagged Middle East/oil-driven input cost hit; if management flags an incremental $150-170M H2 cost headwind without fully offsetting mitigation, sell-side models will need to trim FY organic growth and operating profit growth assumptions even after any narrow EPS beat, and lingering uncertainty on Kenvue close timing/financing removes a re-rating catalyst that could otherwise cushion the stock, arguing for continued downward drift over the week rather than a snapback. LOW