LDOS Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LDOS Report Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$3.05 vs. cons $2.90 MEDIUM
LDOS Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$4.48B vs. cons $4.43B MEDIUM
LDOS Report Adj. EBITDA margin IN-LINE pred ~13.6% vs. cons ~13.5% LOW
LDOS Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$12.10-12.50 (midpoint $12.30) vs. cons $12.30 (FY26) MEDIUM
LDOS Guide FY26 revenue guide UNCHANGED guide ~$18.0-18.4B vs. cons ~$18.2B (FY26) MEDIUM
LDOS Guide Health/DHMSM (MHS GENESIS) commentary — revenue at risk & extension terms UNKNOWN guide TBD lead-integrator transition vs. cons assumes ~$0.5-1B Health run-rate risk (2H26/FY27) LOW
LDOS Guide Book-to-bill BETTER guide ~1.0x vs. cons ~0.9x (Q2, TTM ~1.1x) LOW
LDOS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% LOW
LDOS Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Sentiment is bombed-out (stock cut ~50% peak-to-trough) but has already bounced ~19% off the late-June $100 low into the print on a pre-telegraphed 'trough' quarter. A modest EPS/revenue beat plus a maintained FY guide and any constructive DHMSM extension/VBA reassurance validates the 'bad news is priced' thesis; at ~9-10x forward with a fresh 20M-share buyback authorization providing a bid, relief follows through. Risk skew: if DHMSM lead-integrator loss is confirmed or Health reset deepens, out-period math (2H hockey-stick doubts) pulls estimates down and flips this to a fade — hence low confidence. LOW