LLY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LLY Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$20.9B vs. cons $20.5B MEDIUM
LLY Report Q2 2026 international Mounjaro revenue BEAT pred ~$4.9B vs. cons $4.5B MEDIUM
LLY Report Q2 2026 Foundayo revenue MISS pred ~$0.06B vs. cons $0.10B MEDIUM
LLY Guide Revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$84.0B-$87.0B, midpoint $85.5B vs. cons $85.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
LLY Guide Non-GAAP EPS guidance including acquired IPR&D LOWER guide ~$33.50-$35.00, midpoint $34.25 vs. cons $34.55 (FY2026) LOW
LLY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
LLY Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FADE) International Mounjaro strength and a revenue-guide raise support the initial reaction, but implied H2 revenue of ~$44.8B versus consensus ~$44.7B offers little out-period upside; weak Foundayo sales and IPR&D-driven EPS-guide pressure should limit estimate revisions. MEDIUM