LLY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LLY Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$21.9B vs. cons $21.5B MEDIUM
LLY Report Non-GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$9.45 vs. cons $9.25 MEDIUM
LLY Report Zepbound revenue BEAT pred ~$5.25B vs. cons $5.15B MEDIUM
LLY Guide FY2026 revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$85.5B midpoint vs. cons $85.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
LLY Guide FY2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$38.00 midpoint vs. cons $37.45 (FY2026) MEDIUM
LLY Guide FY2026 non-GAAP performance-margin guidance UNCHANGED guide ~47.75% midpoint vs. cons 47.75% (FY2026) MEDIUM
LLY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
LLY Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FADE) A ~$85.5B FY2026 revenue midpoint versus $85.0B consensus supports a positive initial reaction, but the implied ~$21.9B average quarterly revenue for H2 versus ~$21.7B consensus leaves limited out-period estimate upside; price-realization scrutiny and elevated valuation should fade a portion of the day-1 move. MEDIUM