LLY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LLY Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$20.90B vs. cons $20.62B MEDIUM
LLY Report Non-GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$6.80 vs. cons $6.68 MEDIUM
LLY Report Tirzepatide franchise revenue BEAT pred ~$13.25B vs. cons $13.03B MEDIUM
LLY Guide FY26 revenue LOWER guide $82.0B-$85.0B vs. cons $85.38B MEDIUM
LLY Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS BETTER guide $35.50-$37.00 vs. cons $34.83 MEDIUM
LLY Guide H2 Foundayo / access trajectory UNCHANGED guide broadly on-plan vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
LLY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% LOW
LLY Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — implicit H2 revenue concern outweighs a modest Q2 beat LOW