MET Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MET Report 2Q26 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.33 vs. cons $2.30 MEDIUM
MET Report 2Q26 variable investment income, pretax BEAT pred ~$250M vs. cons $245M HIGH
MET Report 2Q26 Group Benefits adjusted earnings BEAT pred ~$432M vs. cons $420M MEDIUM
MET Guide Variable investment income UNCHANGED guide ~$1.60B vs. cons $1.60B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide Direct expense ratio UNCHANGED guide ~12.1% vs. cons 12.1% (FY2026) HIGH
MET Guide RIS adjusted earnings UNCHANGED guide ~$1.70B vs. cons $1.70B (FY2026 midpoint) MEDIUM
MET Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
MET Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A modest EPS beat and clean Group Benefits underwriting support the initial move, but maintained FY2026 VII of ~$1.60B versus consensus ~$1.60B leaves limited out-period estimate upside; the required 2H26 VII catch-up remains about ~$837M versus consensus ~$837M, causing revisions to flatten and part of the day-1 gain to fade. MEDIUM