MET Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MET Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.23 vs. cons $2.17 MEDIUM
MET Report Pre-tax variable investment income (VII) IN-LINE pred ~$245M vs. cons $245M HIGH
MET Report Group Benefits adjusted earnings BEAT pred ~$415M vs. cons $395M MEDIUM
MET Guide Full-year pre-tax VII BETTER guide ~$1.60B vs. cons $1.55B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide Full-year adjusted EPS growth BETTER guide ~11% vs. cons 10% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide RIS adjusted earnings UNCHANGED guide ~$1.70B vs. cons $1.70B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide MIM adjusted earnings UNCHANGED guide ~$260M vs. cons $260M (FY2026) MEDIUM
MET Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
MET Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) A modest EPS beat of ~$2.23 versus $2.17 and VII near ~$245M should support an initial positive reaction, but retained FY2026 VII guidance of ~$1.60B versus ~$1.55B consensus is a reaffirmation rather than a material raise; limited out-period estimate upside should leave the 5-day residual near +1.0% after a +1.8% day-1 move. MEDIUM