MET Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MET Report Variable Investment Income (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$265M vs. cons ~$316M (Visible Alpha, Jul 1 2026) HIGH
MET Report Adj. EPS Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.37 (Visible Alpha, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
MET Report Interest-Adj. Benefit Ratio - Group Benefits (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~73.5% vs. cons 73.94% (Visible Alpha, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide FY 2026 Variable Investment Income (pretax) LOWER guide ~$1.6B reaffirmed vs. cons $1.62B (Visible Alpha, Jul 1 2026) HIGH
MET Guide Q3 2026 VII qualitative tone UNCHANGED constructive above $400M run rate vs. cons ~$408M (Visible Alpha, Jul 1 2026) MEDIUM
MET Guide FY 2026 Direct Expense Ratio UNCHANGED reaffirm 12.1% target vs. cons ~12.1% HIGH
MET Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
MET Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE - Q3 VII recovery narrative limits downside; partial recovery as sell-side trims but does not slash estimates; high pre-run prevents full reversal MEDIUM