| MNST |
Report |
Q2 2026 Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$2.48B vs. cons $2.43B |
MEDIUM |
| MNST |
Report |
Q2 2026 EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$0.60 vs. cons $0.58 |
MEDIUM |
| MNST |
Report |
Q2 2026 Gross Margin |
MISS |
pred ~54.2% vs. cons ~55.1% |
MEDIUM |
| MNST |
Guide |
Q3 2026 EPS guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~$0.62 vs. cons $0.60 (Q3 2026) |
LOW |
| MNST |
Guide |
FY2026 Gross Margin outlook (aluminum/tariff cost trajectory) |
LOWER |
guide ~54.0% vs. cons ~54.8% (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| MNST |
Guide |
Q4 2026 EPS guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~$0.57 vs. cons $0.55 (Q4 2026) |
LOW |
| MNST |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-3.0% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| MNST |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-5.5% (FADE) |
Even with a likely top-line/EPS beat, management's reiteration/extension of the 'modest sequential aluminum cost increase through at least end of 2026' guidance implies further out-period gross-margin cuts; sell-side models built on 55%+ gross margin get trimmed for Q3/Q4/FY27, pulling forward EPS estimates down even as the print itself beats. Combine with a stretched valuation (low-40s trailing P/E, ~38x forward) into an already-priced 36% Q2 rally and an imminent Aug 11 split (no fundamental catalyst), and the setup favors profit-taking/estimate-trimming over sustained follow-through — a 'beat-but-fade' pattern typical of MNST prints when margin commentary disappoints relative to a high bar. |
MEDIUM |