{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.10 vs. cons $0.15",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Revenue",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$3.08B vs. cons $3.13B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$425M vs. cons $455M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Phosphate sales volume",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~1.30M tonnes vs. cons 1.55M tonnes (Q3 2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "DAP realized price, FOB plant",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$820/tonne vs. cons $800/tonne (Q3 2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Phosphate stripping margin",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~$300/tonne vs. cons $375/tonne (Q3 2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Potash production",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~9.0M tonnes vs. cons 9.0M tonnes (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -5.2,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": -7.4,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "Q3 phosphate volume guide of ~1.30M tonnes vs. cons 1.55M and stripping margin of ~$300/tonne vs. cons $375 imply estimate cuts that outweigh a potential Q2 pricing benefit.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}