{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$14.60 vs. cons $14.11",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Refining capture rate",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~96.0% vs. cons 93.3%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "R&M throughput",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~3.01 MMBbl/d vs. cons 2.988 MMBbl/d",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Refining utilization (Q3 2026)",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~95.0% vs. cons 95.0%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "R&M throughput (Q3 2026)",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~3.04 MMBbl/d vs. cons 3.027 MMBbl/d",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Refining-margin / demand commentary (Q3/FY2026)",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "constructive commentary vs. quantitative consensus UNVERIFIED",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -2.0,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": -3.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH \u2014 strong Q2 but insufficient out-period lift",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}