MRK Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MRK Report Total sales IN-LINE pred ~$16.40B vs. cons $16.31B MEDIUM
MRK Report KEYTRUDA family revenue IN-LINE pred ~$8.43B vs. cons $8.37B MEDIUM
MRK Report WINREVAIR revenue BEAT pred ~$600M vs. cons $571M MEDIUM
MRK Guide FY26 sales UNCHANGED guide ~$65.8B-$67.0B vs. cons $66.87B MEDIUM
MRK Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS LOWER guide ~$2.70-$2.85 vs. cons $3.05 LOW
MRK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
MRK Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — formal EPS reset drives estimate cleanup LOW