MSI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MSI Report Q2 2026 Revenue BEAT pred ~$3.03B vs. cons $3.00B MEDIUM
MSI Report Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$3.92 vs. cons $3.86 HIGH
MSI Report Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Margin Expansion (bps y/y) MISS pred ~+80bps vs. cons ~+100bps MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY2026 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$12.85B vs. cons $12.80B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY2026 Non-GAAP EPS Guidance BETTER guide ~$17.00-$17.10 (mid $17.05) vs. cons $16.93 (FY2026) MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY2026 Operating Margin Expansion Outlook LOWER guide ~+80-90bps vs. cons/prior guide of ~+100bps (FY2026) MEDIUM
MSI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% LOW
MSI Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Even with a top/bottom-line beat, commentary reiterating or trimming the full-year ~100bps margin-expansion target (memory costs doubling, tariff drag) implies analysts must shave H2/FY2027 EPS estimates, echoing the Q1 pattern where a strong print still sold off on margin/cost fears; with the stock near all-time highs and elevated buy-side expectations already priced in, initial softness likely extends over the week as sell-side models get trimmed rather than stabilizing. LOW