MSI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MSI Report 2Q26 non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$3.93 vs. cons $3.85 MEDIUM
MSI Report 2Q26 revenue BEAT pred ~$3.05B vs. cons $3.00B MEDIUM
MSI Report 2Q26 Software & Services revenue BEAT pred ~$1.33B vs. cons $1.31B LOW
MSI Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS LOWER guide ~$16.93 vs. cons $17.02 (FY26) MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY26 revenue UNCHANGED guide ~$12.80B vs. cons $12.84B (FY26) MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY26 Silvus revenue BETTER guide ~$775M vs. cons $750M (FY26) MEDIUM
MSI Guide FY26 operating cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$3.00B vs. cons $3.02B (FY26) LOW
MSI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
MSI Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$3.93 vs. $3.85 Q2 EPS beat and ~$3.05B vs. $3.00B revenue beat are likely outweighed by FY26 EPS guide of ~$16.93 vs. $17.02 consensus: a modest Silvus increase does not fully offset implied second-half core-margin and interest-cost pressure, driving out-period estimate reductions from day-1 ~-2.5% toward day-5 ~-4.5%. MEDIUM