NI Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NI Report 2Q26 consolidated adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.16 vs. cons $0.15 MEDIUM
NI Report 2Q26 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$1.19B vs. cons $1.16B LOW
NI Report Contracted data-center load (Amazon/ADS plus Alphabet) IN-LINE pred ~3.10 GW vs. cons 3.10 GW MEDIUM
NI Guide FY26 consolidated adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$2.045 midpoint vs. cons $2.09 (FY2026) HIGH
NI Guide 2026-2030 base-plan adjusted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~7.0% midpoint vs. cons 7.0% (2026-2030) HIGH
NI Guide GenCo adjusted-EPS contribution target UNCHANGED guide ~$0.30 midpoint vs. cons $0.30 (2030) MEDIUM
NI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
NI Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest 2Q EPS/revenue beat is unlikely to offset the absence of a FY26 raise: guidance at ~$2.045 midpoint versus ~$2.09 consensus implies negative out-period estimate math. If GenCo contracted load and 2030 contribution targets remain unchanged rather than advancing, analysts are more likely to trim FY26/FY27 estimates and retain execution-risk discounts. MEDIUM