NRG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NRG Report Adj. Operating EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.25B vs. cons $1.191B MEDIUM
NRG Report Adj. Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.80 vs. cons $1.662 MEDIUM
NRG Report Data Center Deal Announcement MISS pred no deal vs. market pricing optionality LOW
NRG Guide Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$5.575B mid vs. cons $5.506B MEDIUM
NRG Guide Adj. EPS (FY 2026) LOWER guide ~$8.90 mid vs. cons $9.014 MEDIUM
NRG Guide Data Center Commentary (Qualitative) UNCHANGED reiterate urgency, no new deal MEDIUM
NRG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
NRG Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FADE) FADE — EPS guide below consensus triggers sell-side cuts; initial beat relief fades as market digests implicit EPS trim MEDIUM