O Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
O Report 2Q26 AFFO per share MISS pred ~$1.08 vs. cons $1.10 MEDIUM
O Report 2Q26 investment volume (100% basis) BEAT pred ~$2.45B vs. cons $2.20B MEDIUM
O Report 2Q26 portfolio occupancy IN-LINE pred ~98.9% vs. cons 98.9% HIGH
O Guide FY26 AFFO per share guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.42 vs. cons $4.42 (FY26) HIGH
O Guide FY26 investment-volume guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$9.50B vs. cons $9.50B (FY26) HIGH
O Guide FY26 same-store rental-revenue growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~1.15% vs. cons 1.15% (FY26) MEDIUM
O Guide FY26 lease-termination-income guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$47.5M vs. cons $47.5M (FY26) MEDIUM
O Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
O Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) pred -3.5% vs. day-1 -2.5%; a modest AFFO miss despite strong deployment would reinforce that 1Q termination income was not recurring, while unchanged $4.42 FY26 guidance leaves weaker implied 2H per-share accretion and prompts modest out-period estimate cuts. MEDIUM