OXY Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
OXY Report Adjusted EPS from continuing operations BEAT pred ~$1.95 vs. cons $1.88 MEDIUM
OXY Report Free cash flow before working capital BEAT pred ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.35B MEDIUM
OXY Report Worldwide production IN-LINE pred ~1.415 MMBOE/d vs. cons 1.420 MMBOE/d MEDIUM
OXY Guide Worldwide production guidance UNCHANGED guide ~1.44 MMBOE/d vs. cons 1.44 MMBOE/d (FY2026) MEDIUM
OXY Guide Capital-spending guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.70B midpoint vs. cons $5.70B (FY2026) HIGH
OXY Guide Midstream and Marketing adjusted pre-tax income guidance BETTER guide ~$1.30B vs. cons $1.10B (FY2026) MEDIUM
OXY Guide Principal debt target BETTER guide ~$9.50B vs. cons $10.00B (year-end 2026) LOW
OXY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
OXY Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.3% (FADE) The initial reaction should reward modest EPS and free-cash-flow beats plus faster deleveraging, but much of the upside is commodity-price-driven. Unchanged production and capital guidance, normalization of Midstream benefits, and no firm recurring buyback framework should limit out-period estimate revisions and partially fade the day-1 gain. MEDIUM